Best Bet Early This MLB Season? The Baltimore Orioles Unders

Posted on April 21, 2022 - Last Updated on April 24, 2022

There’s no sure thing in sports betting. But the Baltimore Orioles under has been pretty close so far.

The Orioles under hit in 11 of the team’s first 12 games. The other game was a push.

The over finally hit in Thursday’s 6-4 loss to the Oakland Athletics, with the over/under being set at 7 runs by DraftKings Sportsbook. The O’s then went under again Friday, then pushed on Saturday. So if you bet unders in Baltimore’s first 15 games, you would have gone 12-1-2, which is pretty damn good.

For comparison, the Cincinnati Reds hit the over an MLB-leading seven times in their first 13 games. Every other MLB team had the over hit at least three times in the young season.

The Orioles trend was further amplified by Baltimore’s 1-0 win on Wednesday night at Oakland, as Jordan Lyles was the latest O’s starting pitcher to twirl a quality start, going five innings scoreless.

Of course, Maryland sports betting has only launched at the retail sportsbook level so far. Online sports bettors will have to wait until later this year to make bets statewide, perhaps after baseball season is done.

No runs, very little winning for Orioles this season

The run total for Orioles games this season has been anywhere from 7.5 to 9.5 runs thus far. Up until Thursday, only a 5-4 loss to Milwaukee on April 12 wasn’t a winner for under bettors, as the game was a push on the nine-run total.

But it’s largely been the same old story of the recent past for fans, as Baltimore limped to a 4-9 start this year.

Solid starting pitching, power outage pushing under streak

As noted by BaltimoreBaseball.com, there have been some wild stats so far this season for the O’s.

Lyles’ outing on Wednesday was just another impressive performance in a surprising run of sterling starts for the Orioles. Entering Thursday’s game, Baltimore’s team ERA was 2.57, the fifth-best in baseball.

Just as prevalent in the start, however, is the less-than-impressive power hitting.

The Orioles enter Thursday with four home runs this season. That’s last in MLB, two homers clear of the Detroit Tigers.

Some MLB bettors notice early-season unders

Bettors often take notice of the old adage that pitchers are often ahead of hitters coming out of spring training. In addition, cold early-season weather in northern, outdoor locales often has a way of cooling bats.

One BetMGM Sportsbook player hit a 14-leg parlay betting all MLB unders on the season’s first weekend. The bet, which included Baltimore at Tampa Bay, netted $265,272.29 on a $50 bet.

Photo by Jeff Chiu / Associated Press
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Griffin Adams

Griffin Adams is a staff writer/editor for the Play Network of Sites, where he provides coverage and analysis in the gambling, sports betting and gaming space. Previously, his work could be found in The Athletic, USA Today, Sports Illustrated and MLB.com.

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